It’s hurricane season again! It started a little early this year with named storms in both the Pacific and the Atlantic prior to the official beginning of the hurricane season. On May 24, the NOAA issued their first prediction for the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season with 15 named storms
, of which, four to eight will become hurricanes.
Not to be outdone, Colorado State University (CSU) researchers issued their June 1st Atlantic forecast
, predicting 13 tropical storms, 5 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes. Of course, you’re supposed to forget that CSU’s April 2012 prediction
was only 10 named storms, and that they did not issue a forecast in December 2011 due to a "lack of skill"
. They will issue another update in August 2012 which will modify their previous modification.
Considering the weather patterns in my back yard and my dog’s erratic scratching behavior, I’m issuing my own prediction of 18 named storms, with 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes. To make your prognostication known, enter the discussion here
and/or fill out the poll on the home page of ClaimsPages.com
.Michael W. Kay, CPCU, AIC